[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 121145
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 12 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED ABOUT 535 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A SMALL LOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING A
LIMITED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF IT BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 300 MILES EAST
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS DIMINISHED.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS AND AFRICA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE.
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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