[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 121204
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
704 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR KENEDY COUNTY...

.AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES EAST
OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON
TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR
EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE
TODAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...
165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES. AN OIL PLATFORM IN
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 89 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 400 FEET.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 953 MB...OR 28.14 INCHES.

GMZ132-131500-
/O.EXA.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
704 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT BEGINNING TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE KENEDY
COUNTY GULF OF MEXICO WATERS. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
FOR THIS SAME AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL BE LESS THAN 2 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ135-155-175-131500-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
704 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THIS AREA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING NOW.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
20 TO 30 PERCENT FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME
AREA ARE UNLIKELY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

GMZ150-170-TXZ251-131500-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-KENEDY-
704 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS UP TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING
TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
THIS SAME AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL BE LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

PHILO



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