[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 090628
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
228 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS...

.AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED BY CUBAN
AND KEY WEST RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST...
OR ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE
IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER THE WATERS
TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHEN IKE MOVES INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
IKE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES. SAND KEY RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...AND A
GUST OF 67 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...OR 28.56 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-091030-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
228 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 2 AM ADVISORY.
UPDATED WIND SECTION TO INCLUDE STRONGER WIND GUSTS THROUGHOUT THE
KEYS.
UPDATED STORM TIDE TO INDICATE EXPECTED LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING.
UPDATED RAINFALL SECTION TO ADJUST TIMING OF RAIN.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE
FLORIDA KEYS BY THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER.
MARINERS HOSPITAL IS OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY OVERNIGHT...WHILE ALL
OTHER HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH
ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE
CLOSED TODAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
TODAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD STAY INDOORS
DURING PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS EVENING. STORM
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED DURING THE HIGH
TIDE OCCURRING EARLY THIS MORNING. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDES ARE
EXPECTED TO COME MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE...AND WILL OCCUR AFTER
THE WIND DIRECTION SHIFTS TO SOUTHEAST. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TODAY...7:07 PM TONIGHT...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TODAY...6:49 PM TONIGHT...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TODAY...5:13 PM TODAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

PERIODS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
DURING HEAVIER SQUALLS WITHIN RAIN BANDS. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
REMAIN GENERALLY FROM THE EAST THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
CAUSE MINOR PONDING OF FRESH WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING
AREAS...BUT SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...AS HURRICANE IKE PASSES SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS IN
THE STRONGER SQUALLS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST TODAY
WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND NUMEROUS SQUALLS CONTINUING. SEAS
ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO
20 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS AND THE DRY
TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-091030-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
228 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 2 AM ADVISORY.
UPDATED WIND SECTION TO INCLUDE STRONGER WIND GUSTS THROUGHOUT THE
KEYS.
UPDATED STORM TIDE TO INDICATE EXPECTED LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING.
UPDATED RAINFALL SECTION TO ADJUST TIMING OF RAIN.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE
FLORIDA KEYS BY THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER.
MARINERS HOSPITAL IS OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY OVERNIGHT...WHILE ALL
OTHER HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH
ALL COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE
CLOSED TODAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
TODAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD STAY INDOORS
DURING PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS EVENING. STORM
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED DURING THE HIGH
TIDE OCCURRING EARLY THIS MORNING. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDES ARE
EXPECTED TO COME MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE...AND WILL OCCUR AFTER
THE WIND DIRECTION SHIFTS TO SOUTHEAST. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TODAY...7:07 PM TONIGHT...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TODAY...6:49 PM TONIGHT...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TODAY...5:13 PM TODAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

PERIODS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
DURING HEAVIER SQUALLS WITHIN RAIN BANDS. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
REMAIN GENERALLY FROM THE EAST THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TODAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
CAUSE MINOR PONDING OF FRESH WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING
AREAS...BUT SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...AS HURRICANE IKE PASSES SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS IN
THE STRONGER SQUALLS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST TODAY
WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND NUMEROUS SQUALLS CONTINUING. SEAS
ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO
20 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS AND THE DRY
TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON






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