[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 090625
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
225 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...

.AT 200 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES, FLORIDA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS
OVER THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHEN
IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

GMZ656-657-676-091200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
225 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE
TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM. COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO
CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST DOES NOT INCLUDE SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS, WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS BEING EXPERIENCED WHICH COULD NECESSITATE A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING SOMETIME TUESDAY, PARTICULARLY FOR THE OFFSHORE
GULF WATERS. THEREFORE, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT,
SO MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO
TO CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH ARE
STILL ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES WEST OF THE
AREA AND IT IS CERTAIN THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE
OBSERVED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 30 TO 50 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO AROUND 30 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT, HIGHEST OVER THE OFFSHORE GULF WATERS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY
SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COASTAL WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS
ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL OUTER BANDS. HOWEVER,
ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE, SHOULD THE CENTER OF IKE MOVE SLIGHTLY
TO THE NORTH OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OR THE STORM GROWS IN
SIZE. THEREFORE, ALONG WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CASE A WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY
SOMETIME ON TUESDAY.

SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST BEYOND 20 MILES OF THE COAST, AROUND
8 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING, THEN UP TO 10 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE THIS WEEK. MARINERS
SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-091200-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
225 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE.
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.
UPDATED TORNADOES SECTION.
UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: COLLIER, GLADES, HENDRY,
MAINLAND MONROE, PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM,
BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO BROWARD, ALL
OF MIAMI-DADE, AND MAINLAND MONROE THROUGH 8 PM EDT TODAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE ATLANTIC
WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM TIDE OF GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
EVENT AS IKE MOVES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ON BOTH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COASTS. ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, THIS IN COMBINATION WITH
THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND RESULTING WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MINOR
BEACH EROSION. LOW COASTAL AREAS FROM MIAMI-DADE TO PALM BEACH
COUNTIES MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING AS TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO
RUN ALMOST A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AS THE STORM PASSES TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS CUBA. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY ENHANCED NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE WHICH WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 LOCAL TIME THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST OF BROWARD, MIAMI DADE, AND MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA, WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY.
WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY IN SQUALLS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF A RAINBAND CONTINUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE SAME AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF IKE, PARTICULARLY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL BE SOUTH OF A NAPLES TO MIAMI LINE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY, EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. WINDS OF
AROUND 25 KNOTS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
BEFORE SUBSIDING. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE WATERS OFF
THE MIAMI-DADE COAST. SEAS OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL REACH UPWARDS TO
10 TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING, HIGHEST OVER THE MIAMI-DADE COASTAL
WATERS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 TO 10 FEET,
THEN TO 6 TO 8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.

OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WINDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

$$

GREGORIA


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