[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 1 11:51:38 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KMOB 011651
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING ALL OF
MOBILE BAY...

...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED EAST OF THE ALABAMA-
FLORIDA BORDER...

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STONE...
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND WASHINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
COASTAL AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS
OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY FOR EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

FLZ001>006-020000-
/O.CAN.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KMOB.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE COAST...

...NEW INFORMATION...

SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FOR THIS REASON THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FROM PENSACOLA EASTWARD. WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR INDIVIDUAL STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE GULF.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE COAST.

HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...AND HAS MADE LANDFALL
NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV NOW A CATEGORY 2 STORM.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN IN SQUALLS WILL MOVE NORTH FROM THE COAST
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS IN THESE BANDS OF
SQUALLS COULD CONTAIN TORNADOES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM CDT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

WATER LEVELS ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST ARE RUNNING 3 TO 5 FEET FEET
ABOVE NORMAL. THIS HAS RESULTED IN FLOODING IN THE FORT PICKENS
AREA...AND SOME WATER IS SPLASHING ONTO HIGHWAY 98 ON OKALOOSA
ISLAND...BUT NO OTHER COASTAL FLOOD PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THE
PRIMARY ISSUE REMAINS RUNUP AND BEACH EROSION DUE TO LARGE WAVES
ALONG THE GULF BEACHES. MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM PENSACOLA TO DESTIN
FLORIDA.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.


...WINDS...

EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY
IN THUNDERSTORMS...ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OCCASIONAL RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF
GUSTAV WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL... WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT
IN AN INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT.

$$

ALZ061>064-020000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...AND HAS MADE LANDFALL
NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV NOW A CATEGORY 2 STORM.

TIDE LEVELS ARE RUNNING ABOUT 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE
MOBILE BAY REGION...LOCALLY HIGHER IN SOME LOCATIONS. COASTAL
FLOODING IS OCCURRING AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS AROUND MOBILE BAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM CDT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT 1100 AM...TIDE GAGES AROUND THE MOBILE BAY AREA AND THE SOUTHERN
SHORES OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES CONTINUE TO REPORT TIDE HEIGHTS
FROM 5 TO 7 FEET. THE TIDE GAGES ARE INDICATING THE WATER LEVELS
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RISE LATE THIS MORNING...AND MAXIMUM TOTAL
STORM TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THESE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS WILL CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING ACROSS THE MOBILE BAY AREA. COASTAL FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE HIGHWAY 90 CAUSEWAY BETWEEN MOBILE AND SPANISH FORT...ALONG
HIGHWAY 193 IN SOUTH MOBILE COUNTY TO DAUPHIN ISLAND...ALONG THE WEST
END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...A FEW LOW LYING AREAS ON THE EAST END OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND. COASTAL FLOODING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED AROUND BAYOU
LA BATRE AND CODEN ARES OF SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

STRONG WINDS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH ARE BEING OBSERVED PERIODICALLY
OVER MUCH OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES...WEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST...WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM 50 TO 60 MPH LIKELY IN PERIODIC
SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

AS SQUALLS WITH HIGHER WINDS AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA...SOME MOBILE HOMES WILL SUSTAIN MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND
SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED
LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES... CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE
DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND
ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE
FROM TREES. A FEW PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...

PERSISTENT RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF
GUSTAV WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL...
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD
RESULT IN AN INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT.


$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-020000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...AND HAS MADE LANDFALL
NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV NOW A CATEGORY 2 STORM. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT FOR
60 NAUTICAL MILES...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT 1100 AM...TIDE GAGES AROUND THE MOBILE BAY AREA AND THE SOUTHERN
SHORES OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES CONTINUE TO REPORT TIDE HEIGHTS
FROM 5 TO 7 FEET. THE TIDE GAGES ARE INDICATING THE WATER LEVELS
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RISE LATE THIS MORNING...AND MAXIMUM TOTAL
STORM TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 40 TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ALABAMA
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...PRODUCING SEAS OF 15 TO
20 FEET.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-020000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T0600Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...AND HAS MADE LANDFALL
NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV NOW A CATEGORY 2 STORM. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS AT 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH.

AS SQUALLS WITH HIGHER WINDS AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE MOVE THROUGH
THIS MORNING...MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES
AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED.
UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND
LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. PEOPLE RESIDING IN
FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK SAFER SHELTER.

...INLAND FLOODING...

BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...AND CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA AS GUSTAV
CONTINUES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN THE THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI... EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF
RAINFALL TO AREA...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...RESULTING
IN AN INCREASED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH
TODAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE
LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT.

$$

ALZ051-053>060-020000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-
1151 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...AND HAS MADE LANDFALL
NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
GUSTAV NOW A CATEGORY 2 STORM. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT ABOUT 70 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT
100 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN
TEXAS ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
GUSTS IN THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT.

$$

SHEPHERD

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