[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 1 11:27:31 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 011626 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA...
.AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST OR OVER
THE LOUISIANA COAST JUST WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT ABOUT 40 MILES...64 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE
IN THE FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN
LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND EASTERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV
MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT
GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 83 MPH...
133 KM/HR.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE COAST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY.
LAZ052>054-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
IBERIA PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
ST. MARY PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
VERMILION PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.
A STORM SURGE TIDE OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ONCE THE EYE OF GUSTAV IS
JUST NORTH AND WEST OF ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.
VERMILION PARISH.
A STORM SURGE TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.
...WINDS...
AT 0853 AM...SALT POINT IN ST MARY'S PARISH REPORTED A NORTH WIND
OF 29 MPH GUSTING TO 48 MPH.
AT 0938 AM...NEW IBERIA REPORTED A NORTH WIND OF 25 MPH GUSTING
TO 39 MPH.
AT 1054 AM...BUOY AT AMERADA PASS...REPORTED NORTH WINDS AT 53 MPH
GUSTING TO 74 MPH.
AT 0853 AM...LAFAYETTE REGIONAL REPORTED NORTH WINDS AT 22 MPH
GUSTING TO 35 MPH.
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NEAR A LINE FROM
MORGAN CITY...TO FRANKLIN...TO NEW IBERIA...TO LAFAYETTE.
ALTHOUGH WEAKENING WILL OCCUR ONCE THE STORM MOVES INLAND...THE
CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR GUSTAV TO REMAIN A CATEGORY
2 HURRICANE UNTIL IT REACHES LAFAYETTE.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE AND ALL
MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED.
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION BEING DESTROYED OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. MODERATE TO
MAJOR DAMAGE OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES WILL INCLUDE FAILURE OF
UP TO ONE HALF OF ALL GABLED ROOFS. IN ADDITION....UP TO ONE
QUARTER OF EXTERIOR WALLS WILL FAIL.
ALUMINUM AND LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL ROOFS WILL BE TORN OFF BUILDINGS
AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS. PARTIAL ROOF AND EXTERIOR WALL FAILURES ARE
LIKELY AT LOW RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OF POOR
TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION. MOST WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE OFFICE
BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT...WITH OTHER MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE
POSSIBLE DUE TO SWAYING.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL
MAJOR DAMAGE...AS WELL AS INJURIES AND A FEW FATALITIES.
NEAR TOTAL POWER LOSS IS EXPECTED. UP TO ONE HALF OF ALL POWER
POLES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN...AND HUNDREDS OF TRANSFORMERS WILL
POP. THE AVAILABILITY OF POTABLE WATER WILL BE DIMINISHED AS
FILTRATION SYSTEMS BEGIN TO FAIL.
NATURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE THOUSANDS OF TREES BEING SEVERELY
DAMAGED. UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF ALL HEALTHY SMALL TO MEDIUM
SIZED TREES WILL SNAP OR BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. UP TO ONE HALF OF HEALTHY LARGE TREES WILL SNAP OR BE
UPROOTED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED GROUND CROPS WILL BE WIPED OUT.
LIVESTOCK LEFT OUTSIDE WILL BE INJURED...SOME CRITICALLY. A FEW
LIVESTOCK DEATHS ARE LIKELY.
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
BEING FELT NOW FROM MORGAN CITY TO NEW IBERIA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY AREA
AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING...AND THE NEW IBERIA AND ABBEVILLE
AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
MORGAN CITY
TROPICAL STORM...100 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...62 PERCENT.
NEW IBERIA
TROPICAL STORM...98 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...53 PERCENT.
INTRACOASTAL CITY.
TROPICAL STORM...98 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...40 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME FLOODING OF
AREA RIVERS THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. IN ADDITION
TO RIVER FLOODING ON SOME OF THE AREA RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
AT THIS TIME...MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE VERMILION RIVER
FROM LAFAYETTE TO PERRY. AT SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE THE CURRENT
RIVER CREST FORECAST IS 16 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO
HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FROM PORT THIS MORNING. WAVE
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 FEET BY LATE MONDAY
MORNING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPROACHES THE COASTLINE.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY AND SHOULD REACH INTRACOASTAL CITY AND
VERMILION BAY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
WATER SPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
LAZ051-TXZ215-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON PARISH
CALCASIEU PASS 3.0 FEET AT 7 PM WED.
JEFFERSON COUNTY
SABINE PASS 2.0 FEET AT 8 PM WED.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING
CAMERON PARISH THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS OF CAMERON PARISH AND JEFFERSON COUNTY
SHOULD EXPECT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...NOW THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CAMERON.
TROPICAL STORM...83 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...19 PERCENT.
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR.
TROPICAL STORM...63 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...3 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
TWO TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
LAZ028-029-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T2000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T2000Z/
AVOYELLES-RAPIDES-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
AVOYELLES...RAPIDES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PREPARE FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...FROM 55 TO 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY
MINIMAL HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...WINDS...
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE MARKSVILLE AREA AROUND NOON TODAY...
THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO ALEXANDRIA AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.
MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ALEXANDRIA.
TROPICAL STORM...87 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...9 PERCENT.
MARKSVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...93 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...15 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME FLOODING OF AREA RIVERS
THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. IN ADDITION TO RIVER
FLOODING ON SOME OF THE AREA RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREA CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST AT
GLENMORA. THE RIVER AT GLENMORA IS FORECAST TO GET TO 13 FEET BY
NEXT SATURDAY. FLOOD STAGE AT GLENMORA IS 12 FEET. WHILE NO FLOODING
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CALCASIEU
RIVER...ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THAT MAY PRODUCE MODERATE
FLOODING ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER FROM GLENMORA TO THE CALCASIEU
SALT WATER BARRIER.
STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
LAZ031>033-042>045-055-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080902T2000Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...
LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ACADIA.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR RESIDENTS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10. A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
RESIDENTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92...AND FOR MOBILE HOMES SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.
ALLEN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
JEFFERSON DAVIS.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
LAFAYETTE.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
LOWER ST. MARTIN.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN EFFECT.
UPPER ST. MARTIN.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NEAR A LINE FROM
MORGAN CITY...TO FRANKLIN...TO NEW IBERIA...TO LAFAYETTE...AND TO
EUNICE. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING WILL OCCUR ONCE THE STORM MOVES
INLAND...THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR GUSTAV TO REMAIN
A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE UNTIL IT REACHES LAFAYETTE.
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE AND ALL
MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED.
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION BEING DESTROYED OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. MODERATE TO
MAJOR DAMAGE OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES WILL INCLUDE FAILURE OF UP
TO ONE HALF OF ALL GABLED ROOFS. IN ADDITION....UP TO ONE QUARTER
OF EXTERIOR WALLS WILL FAIL.
ALUMINUM AND LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL ROOFS WILL BE TORN OFF BUILDINGS
AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS. PARTIAL ROOF AND EXTERIOR WALL FAILURES ARE
LIKELY AT LOW RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OF POOR
TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION. MOST WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE OFFICE
BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT...WITH OTHER MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE
POSSIBLE DUE TO SWAYING.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL
MAJOR DAMAGE...AS WELL AS INJURIES AND A FEW FATALITIES.
NEAR TOTAL POWER LOSS IS EXPECTED. UP TO ONE HALF OF ALL POWER
POLES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN...AND HUNDREDS OF TRANSFORMERS WILL
POP. THE AVAILABILITY OF POTABLE WATER WILL BE DIMINISHED AS
FILTRATION SYSTEMS BEGIN TO FAIL.
NATURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE THOUSANDS OF TREES BEING SEVERELY
DAMAGED. UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF ALL HEALTHY SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED
TREES WILL SNAP OR BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED GROUND.
UP TO ONE HALF OF HEALTHY LARGE TREES WILL SNAP OR BE UPROOTED.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED GROUND CROPS WILL BE WIPED OUT. LIVESTOCK LEFT
OUTSIDE WILL BE INJURED...SOME CRITICALLY. A FEW LIVESTOCK DEATHS
ARE LIKELY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN IN LOWER ST. MARTIN PARISH
BEFORE DAWN MONDAY MORNING...REACH THE LAFAYETTE AREA BY EARLY
MORNING...AND REACH THE CROWLEY...VILLE PLATTE...AND OPELOUSAS
AREAS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH
LOWER ST. MARTIN PARISH AROUND NOON...REACH THE LAFAYETTE AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON...AND REACH THE CROWLEY...VILLE PLATTE...AND OPELOUSAS
AREAS BY EARLY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ST. MARTINVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...98 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...48 PERCENT.
LAFAYETTE.
TROPICAL STORM...98 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...43 PERCENT.
OPELOUSAS.
TROPICAL STORM...97 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...37 PERCENT.
VILLE PLATTE.
TROPICAL STORM...96 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...30 PERCENT.
CROWLEY.
TROPICAL STORM...96 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...36 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME
FLOODING OF AREA RIVERS THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
IN ADDITION TO RIVER FLOODING ON SOME OF THE AREA RIVERS...FLASH
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED AS
WELL.
ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST AT
GLENMORA. THE RIVER AT GLENMORA IS FORECAST TO GET TO 13 FEET BY
NEXT SATURDAY. FLOOD STAGE AT GLENMORA IS 12 FEET. WHILE NO FLOODING
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CALCASIEU
RIVER...ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THAT MAY PRODUCE MODERATE
FLOODING ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER FROM GLENMORA TO THE CALCASIEU
SALT WATER BARRIER.
ON WHISKEY CHITTO CREEK...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WHISKEY
CHITTO AT MITTIE...WHERE THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO ITS FLOOD
STAGE OF 15 FEET NEXT FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES TO MODERATE FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE.
ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST AT
GLENMORA. THE RIVER AT GLENMORA IS FORECAST TO GET TO 13 FEET BY
NEXT SATURDAY. FLOOD STAGE AT GLENMORA IS 12 FEET. WHILE NO FLOODING
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CALCASIEU
RIVER...ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THAT MAY PRODUCE MODERATE
FLOODING ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER FROM GLENMORA TO THE CALCASIEU
SALT WATER BARRIER.
MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS
BAYOU NEZPIQUE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MODERATE FLOODING COULD OCCUR ON
THESE RIVERS AS WELL.
STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCE ON MONDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
LAZ027-030-041-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T2000Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-VERNON-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...AND BE PREPARED FOR MODERATE TO
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
BEAUREGARD PARISH.
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
CALCASIEU PARISH.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...WINDS...
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING CALCASIEU PARISH BY EARLY AFTERNOON
ON MONDAY...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARD DE RIDDER
AND LEESVILLE BY MIDAFTERNOON AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST.
WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF DE RIDDER.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
LAKE CHARLES AND VICINITY.
TROPICAL STORM...87 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...17 PERCENT.
DE RIDDER.
TROPICAL STORM...85 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...14 PERCENT.
LEESVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...87 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...12 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME FLOODING OF AREA RIVERS
THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. IN ADDITION TO RIVER
FLOODING ON SOME OF THE AREA RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREA CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST AT
GLENMORA. THE RIVER AT GLENMORA IS FORECAST TO GET TO 13 FEET BY
NEXT SATURDAY. FLOOD STAGE AT GLENMORA IS 12 FEET. WHILE NO FLOODING
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CALCASIEU
RIVER...ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THAT MAY PRODUCE MODERATE
FLOODING ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER FROM GLENMORA TO THE CALCASIEU
SALT WATER BARRIER.
STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AND LASTING INTO
TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
TXZ180>182-201-216-012230-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080902T2000Z/
HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
1126 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
TUESDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CENTER OF GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE LOUISIANA
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATION INFORMATION:
HARDIN COUNTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
ORANGE COUNTY.
A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ORANGE COUNTY.
SABINE PASS 2.0 FEET AT 8 PM WED.
...WINDS...
ON THE CURRENT PATH OF GUSTAV...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY MONDAY EVENING.
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
TOWN BLUFF.
TROPICAL STORM...65 PERCENT
HURRICANE...6 PERCENT.
VILLAGE MILLS AND WOODVILLE.
TROPICAL STORM...59 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...4 PERCENT.
ORANGE.
TROPICAL STORM...73 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...11 PERCENT.
NEWTON.
TROPICAL STORM...75 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...9 PERCENT.
JASPER.
TROPICAL STORM...69 PERCENT.
HURRICANE...7 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
THREE TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM.
$$
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