[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 141743
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST
OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER BETWEEN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA WESTWARD
TO LIMON.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES... 65 KM...NORTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS...HOWEVER...THE CENTER
COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN HONDURAS IF THERE IS ANY DEVIATION TO THE
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
30 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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