[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 141707
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM OMAR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
107 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM OMAR DRIFTING SLOWLY ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL
   CARIBBEAN...

.AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND RADAR DATA FROM CURACAO...TO
BE NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 355
MILES... 570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 125 MILES... 200 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TODAY...
WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...
110 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-151715-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
107 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST...DRIFTING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN THE
EASTERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE WEDNESDAY
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL ISLANDS AND
WATERS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL ISLANDS.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH...AND RAINBANDS INCREASING IN
FREQUENCY...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. LOCAL INTERESTS
ARE THEREFORE ADVISED TO FINALIZE STORM PREPARATIONS BY SUNSET
TODAY. HIGH RAIN ACCUMULATIONS DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEMS...AS WELL AS LAND AND MUDSLIDES. INTERESTS ACROSS
POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER RELOCATING TO SAFER
AREAS FOR THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF TWO TO THREE FEET ARE TO BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH WAVE ACTION SUPERIMPOSED UPON THESE ELEVATED TIDES.
NORMALLY TRANQUIL COASTLINES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ST CROIX AND
THE SOUTHWEST COASTS OF ST THOMAS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES ARE
LIKELY TO SEE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION WEDNESDAY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHORTLY BEFORE NOON...AND
ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE FROM AROUND 20 PERCENT WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS ST CROIX...TO 50
PERCENT OR HIGHER FOR CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND ALL OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT IS EXPECTED FOR
6 PM.

$$

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-151715-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
107 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST...DRIFTING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN THE
EASTERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE WEDNESDAY
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCAL WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH SEA GRADUALLY BUILDING. SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BECOMING ROUGH AND DANGEROUS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MARINE INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO...AND ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE URGED TO FINALIZE STORM
PREPARATIONS BY SUNSET TODAY AS WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME HAZARDOUS ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS DURING THE MORNING
WEDNESDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...WINDS...

SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT FROM THE
OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS TONIGHT...NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTH
COASTS AND NEAR SHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS BY SUNRISE...AND THEN
INCREASE RATHER QUICKLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...SPREADING FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
FORECAST WITHIN 25 MILES NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF OMAR AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT IS EXPECTED FOR
6 PM.

$$

SS


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