[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 23 01:57:55 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KHGX 230656
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
156 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...RAIN BANDS OF DOLLY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST...

AT 100 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. SOME FURTHER
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE
TEXAS MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM BROWNSVILLE SUGGEST THAT THE
HURRICANE IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND SOME STRENGTHENING
IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE
COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 982 MB.

GMZ330-350-370-240700-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
156 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...STRENGTH...AND
FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
	CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
	SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION.
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT
OUR LOCAL BAY AND GULF WATERS DUE TO CURRENT TRACK FORECAST OF
DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER
THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY. DUE TO
THE LONG DURATION OF THIS MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY FETCH...TIDES
LEVELS WILL RISE. TIDE LEVELS MAY APPROACH 4 FEET BY HIGH TIDE THIS
MORNING. TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO
PLEASE MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR
DIRECTION.

EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND EROSION OF OCEAN FACING
SAND DUNES AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF
CONDITIONS IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE
SWELLS. SWIMMING FROM THE BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS
SHOULD BE AVOIDED. PLEASE DO NOT ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS
WHO MIGHT TRY TO RESCUE YOU.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  8:19 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.3 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              WED 10:13 AM.       3.7 FEET.
              WED 9:48 PM         3.6 FEET.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS IF HURRICANE DOLLY GROWS MUCH LARGER OR VEERS NORTH FROM
ITS CURRENT TRACK. WINDS REMAINING AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
TO NEAR 40 KNOTS. THESE WINDS HAVE GENERATED EARLY WEDNESDAY 13 TO
14 FOOT OFFSHORE SEAS...7 TO 8 FOOT NEARSHORE SEAS. EXPECT ANOTHER
COUPLE OF FEET OF INCREASED SEA HEIGHT UPON THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH
MID DAY TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ235>237-240700-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
156 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...STRENGTH...AND
FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL AREA DUE
TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY
TAKES A SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS THEN
THERE WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND
DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.


...WINDS...

AS THE STORM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COASTLINE THIS
MORNING...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS INLAND...AND AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG
THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ238-240700-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GALVESTON-
156 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...STRENGTH...AND
FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	GALVESTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL AREA DUE
TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY
TAKES A SLIGHT NORTHERLY JOG OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS THEN THERE
WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND GUSTS. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR
BOATS AND DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH
FLOODING EROSION OF DUNES ALONG THE OCEAN FACING BEACHES.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

MORGANS POINT...           WED 6:49 PM.  3.0 FEET.

CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...     WED 2:33 PM.  3.5 FEET.

EAGLE POINT...             WED 12:22 PM. 3.8 FEET.

PORT BOLIVAR...            WED  8:42 AM. 3.6 FEET.
                           WED  9:28 PM. 2.3 FEET.

GALVESTON CHANNEL...       WED  8:28 AM. 3.8 FEET.
                           WED  9:14 PM. 2.9 FEET.

GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER... WED  7:22 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED  8:08 PM. 2.8 FEET.

JAMAICA BEACH...           WED 11:06 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED 11:52 PM. 2.2 FEET.

SAN LUIS PASS...           WED  8:19 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED  9:05 PM. 3.3 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

AS THE STORM APPROACHES...EASTERLY WINDS WILL MAINTAIN 15 TO 25
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...25 TO 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG
THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ226-227-240700-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FORT BEND-WHARTON-
156 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED INFORMATION CONCERNING HURRICANE DOLLY'S LOCATION...STRENGTH...AND
FORECASTED TRACK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	FORT BEND...WHARTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN THE EVENT THAT STRONGER WINDS REACH THE AREA...RESIDENTS SHOULD
TAKE CARE OF UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE
BY MOVING THEM INDOORS OR SECURING THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT THE AREA...BE AWARE THAT WEDNESDAY'S
MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY GUST IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH.

...WINDS...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH AND THEN BECOME MORE
SOUTHEAST ON TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DECREASE LATER TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM CDT.

$$






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