[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 22 23:30:11 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KHGX 230428
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1128 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY STRENGTHENS AND APPROACHES THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

.AT 1000 PM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH
OF PALACIOS TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A FURTHER REDUCTION
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO
BORDER AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DOLLY
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 981 MB OR 28.97 INCHES.

GMZ330-350-370-240430-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
1128 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND INCREASE TO 80 MPH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
	CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
	SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION.
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT
OUR LOCAL BAY AND GULF WATERS DUE TO CURRENT TRACK FORECAST OF
DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF
EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
IF HURRICANE DOLLY GROWS MUCH LARGER OR VEERS NORTH FROM ITS CURRENT TRACK.
WINDS SHOULD STRENGTHEN TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS
AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO 13 TO 16 FEET OFFSHORE AND 7 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE
THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ235>237-240430-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
1128 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND INCREASE TO 80 MPH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL AREA DUE
TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES
A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE
A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND DOCKS IN
ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER NIGHT AND THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY WEDNESDAY. AS THE WINDS INCREASE IN STRENGTH...
TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE SLOWLY. TIDE LEVELS MAY APPROACH 4
TO 5 FEET BY HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. TIDE LEVELS
ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR
DIRECTION.

EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH FLOODING AND EROSION OF OCEAN FACING
SAND DUNES AS LARGE SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF
CONDITIONS IN ADDITION TO THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE
SWELLS. SWIMMING FROM THE BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS
SHOULD BE AVOIDED. PLEASE DO NOT ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS
WHO MIGHT TRY TO RESCUE YOU SHOULD YOU FLOUNDER.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  8:19 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.3 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              WED 10:13 AM.       4.5 TO 5 FEET.
              WED  9:48 PM.       3.1 FEET.

...WINDS...

AS THE STORM APPROACHES...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS INLAND...AND AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ALONG THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ238-240430-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GALVESTON-
1128 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND INCREASE TO 80 MPH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	GALVESTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL AREA DUE
TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY
TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE
WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS
AND DOCKS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AS LARGE SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH
FLOODING EROSION OF DUNES ALONG THE OCEAN FACING BEACHES.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

MORGANS POINT...           WED 6:49 PM.  3.0 FEET.

CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...     WED 2:33 PM.  3.5 FEET.

EAGLE POINT...             WED 12:22 PM. 3.8 FEET.

PORT BOLIVAR...            WED  8:42 AM. 3.6 FEET.
                           WED  9:28 PM. 2.3 FEET.

GALVESTON CHANNEL...       WED  8:28 AM. 3.8 FEET.
                           WED  9:14 PM. 2.9 FEET.

GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER... WED  7:22 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED  8:08 PM. 2.8 FEET.

JAMAICA BEACH...           WED 11:06 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED 11:52 PM. 2.2 FEET.

SAN LUIS PASS...           WED  8:19 AM. 4.0 FEET.
                           WED  9:05 PM. 3.3 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

AS THE STORM APPROACHES...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS INLAND...AND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ALONG THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ226-227-240430-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FORT BEND-WHARTON-
1128 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND INCREASE TO 80 MPH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	FORT BEND...WHARTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN THE EVENT THAT STRONGER WINDS REACH THE AREA...RESIDENTS SHOULD
TAKE CARE OF UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK
FURNITURE BY MOVING THEM INDOORS OR SECURING THEM. ALTHOUGH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT COASTAL
AND INLAND REGIONS...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...WINDS...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 20 MPH AND THEN BECOME MORE
SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY AROUND 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS
WILL START TO DECREASE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM CDT.

$$





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