[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 220900
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM DOLLY CONTINUES A STRENGTHENING TREND...

.AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
295 MILES...475 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A FURTHER
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY
NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...
260 KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDS IN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. THE
CURRENT TRACK HAS THE CENTER OF DOLLY REACHING BROWNSVILLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD BE COMPLETING THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE
APPROACH OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST
TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALL MARINERS ARE HIGHLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
FORECAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...WINDS...

CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 65
PERCENT OVER THE ENTIRE COASTAL WATERS...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REMAINS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE
CENTER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AROUND 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDS IN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. THE
CURRENT TRACK HAS THE CENTER OF DOLLY REACHING BROWNSVILLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT STORM SURGE FORECAST IS FOR A 4 TO 6 FOOT
SURGE ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER
AT LANDFALL.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 65
PERCENT ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 10 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF DOLLY MAKES
LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE UPDATED IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ250-253>255-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BROOKS AND
HIDALGO COUNTIES AND INLAND AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS IN
DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...WITH A CONTINUED GRADUAL
INCREASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH
MINIMAL HURRICANE FORCE JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 50 TO 60
PERCENT...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 5 TO 10
PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE GREATER THREAT
WILL BE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT IS NEXT SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AT 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ZAPATA...JIM
HOGG AND STARR COUNTIES. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY
TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN VALLEY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 30 TO 50
PERCENT...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS
THAN 5 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 7 AM CDT.

$$




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