[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 220643
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO CHURN IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

.AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST OR ABOUT
320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
 ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE
WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR ALL MARINE ZONES. CURRENT LOW
WINDS AND SEAS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AS DOLLY
APPROACHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD BE COMPLETING THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE
APPROACH OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST
TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALL MARINERS ARE HIGHLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
FORECAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...WINDS...

CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS GREATER THAN 65
PERCENT IN ALL MARINE ZONES...WITH A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE
CENTER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED FOR ISSUANCE AROUND 430AM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL REGIONS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS
FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT STORM SURGE FORECAST IS FOR A 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGE
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AT
LANDFALL.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

COASTAL REGION WILL SEE A GREATER THAN 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND A 10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF DOLLY MAKES
LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ250-253>255-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BROOKS AND HIDALGO
COUNTIES AND INLAND AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. DOLLY
CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 PERCENT OR
GREATER FOR AREAS EAST OF U.S. ROUTE 281...AND THERE IS A 5 TO 10
PERCENT CHANCE FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO
THE COAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE GREATER THREAT
WILL BE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ZAPATA...JIM
HOGG AND STARR COUNTIES. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY
TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS BETWEEN 40 AND 60
PERCENT FOR AREAS WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 281.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$






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