[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 23:04:11 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KMOB 010403 PAA
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO...POISED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
MONDAY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STONE...
GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND WASHINGTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR
EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...CENTERED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND
ALABAMA. HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED
FOR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV ARE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST. AS THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN THIS EVENING...GUSTY WINDS AROUND
45 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES
TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE RAIN BANDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR
EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...AND ACROSS THE
SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ACTION TO
SECURE PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AT THIS TIME AS TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POISED TO MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT.

PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER. MOBILE COUNTY HAS ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF 1-10...INCLUDING AREAS SUCH AS FOWL
RIVER...CODEN...BAYOU LA BATRE AND DAUPHIN ISLAND. BALDWIN COUNTY
HAS ORDERED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF THE ENTIRE FORT MORGAN
PENINSULA...ALL AREAS SOUTH OF FORT MORGAN ROAD IN THE CITY OF
GULF SHORES...PLASH ISLAND AND OTHER LOW LYING...SURGE AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

RELATIVES OR NEIGHBORS OF ELDERLY OR HANDICAPPED RESIDENTS IN
MANDATORY EVACUATION AREAS OR OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS SHOULD
ENSURE THAT THEY ARE MOVED TO A SAFE REFUGE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL
RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST EVACUATION
INFORMATION.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT 11 PM CDT...SOME TIDE GAGES ACROSS SOUTHERN MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES ARE REPORTING TIDE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 4 FT. TIDE GAGES ARE
INDICATING THE WATER LEVELS ARE RISING.

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA BY MIDDAY MONDAY. STARTING MONDAY MORNING...THE MAXIMUM
TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD REACH 5 TO 7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING ALONG
SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY...WITH 4 TO 6 FEET ACROSS THE WESTERN SHORES
OF MOBILE BAY. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY AND SOUTHERN
BALDWIN COUNTY...TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 2 TO 4
FEET. THESE VALUES REPRESENT THE WORST CASE SCENARIO...AND IF THE
CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS CONSISTENT...THEN THESE VALUES
WILL LIKELY BE 2 TO 3 FEET LOWER. HOWEVER...IF THE STORM TRACK MOVES
A LITTLE MORE TO THE EAST... THESE VALUES WILL BE MORE
REPRESENTATIVE. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV
MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN
THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST LATE
TONIGHT. AS THE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN...GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45
MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE
IN THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THE ALABAMA COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF GUSTAV PASSES TO THE SOUTH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

GMZ630-650-670-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
THROUGH 7 AM CDT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH
OF GUSTAV...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OVERSPREADING
THE GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA GULF COAST...
WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER OFFSHORE. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES
IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE ALSO INCREASING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES...INCLUDING
MOBILE BAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS LOCAL
COMMERCIAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO 45 KNOTS
TONIGHT...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE
FORCE EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 20 FEET
ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 30 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

GMZ655-675-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST
FLORIDA THROUGH 7 AM CDT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH
OF GUSTAV...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OVERSPREADING
THE GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COAST...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER OFFSHORE. THE THREAT OF
TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE ALSO INCREASING THIS EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT FOR 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AS WELL AS
LOCAL COMMERCIAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM 35 TO
45 KNOTS TONIGHT...INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS
LATE EARLY MONDAY. HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY...RANGING FROM AROUND 18 FEET
ABOUT 5 MILES OFF THE COAST OF DESTIN...TO 25 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES TO THE WEST...MOVING INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

FLZ001>006-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING
ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST TONIGHT. AS THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN...GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE
IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV PASSES
TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS WILL INCREASE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM CDT.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...ALONG TIDAL FLOOD AREAS...
AND ACROSS THE SPECIFIED MARINE WATERS...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

PERSONS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS
AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR DETAILS
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK
SAFER SHELTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM
TIDE COULD REACH 1 TO 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY OVER FAR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING PENSACOLA. WE ARE
ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE
HEIGHT.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER
UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

MAJOR TO EXTENSIVE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA STATE LINE EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

...WINDS...

THE FIRST BANDS OF HEAVY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA...NORTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COAST TONIGHT. AS THE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVE IN...GUSTY
WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T0600Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY
TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 7 AM CDT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

AS THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GUSTAV MOVE INLAND
ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA TONIGHT...THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH IN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM
TUESDAY.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 7 AM
CDT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE NOW COMPLETED ALL
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LATE TONIGHT AND ON
MONDAY.

MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A
FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A
FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED
LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE.
SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES
ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR
UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN
LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. PEOPLE RESIDING IN FEMA TRAILERS NEED TO
EVACUATE THEM AND SEEK SAFER SHELTER.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY
AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV APPROACHES AND MOVES INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAIN BANDS MOVING IN OFF THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF GUSTAV WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN COULD RESULT IN AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES
WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

ALZ051-053>060-020415-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-
1103 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE GUSTAV REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...LOCATED ABOUT 188 MILES DUE SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA.
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWEST...HEADED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

AS GUSTAV PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTH...GUSTY EAST WINDS AT 25 TO
30 MPH WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE ONSHORE
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL
INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 188 MILES DUE
SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...AND ABOUT 126 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA GULF COAST
DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT...AND GUSTAV IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE LATE
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES ARE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

GARMON



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