[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 22:11:34 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KSHV 010311
HLSSHV

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1011 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH
HURRICANE GUSTAV REACHING THE COAST POSSIBLY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

LAZ005-010>014-017>022-TXZ153-166-167-020315-
/O.EXT.KSHV.TI.A.0001.080901T1800Z-080903T0000Z/
LINCOLN-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-SHELBY-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
1011 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY
AFTERNOON UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY EVENING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES.

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

           SAN AUGUSTINE...SHELBY...SABINE.

IN NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

           DE SOTO...SABINE...RED RIVER...NATCHITOCHES...
           BIENVILLE...LINCOLN...JACKSON...WINN...GRANT...
           OUACHITA...CALDWELL... LA SALLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

           TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
           FLASH FLOOD WATCH

...STORM INFORMATION...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH
HURRICANE GUSTAV REACHING THE COAST POSSIBLY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE UNDERTAKING PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTING
LIFE AND PROPERTY. SECURE OBJECTS OUTSIDE THAT ARE TOO LARGE TO
BRING INDOORS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN FOR EXCESSIVE
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WHICH WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AS EARLY AS
MID AFTERNOON MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO MUCH
OF THE DAY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS NEAR 70 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA LATE
MONDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS WELL.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BY MIDDAY MONDAY...AND INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA
MONDAY NIGHT. AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN DRASTICALLY PROVIDING
A PROLONGED RAIN THREAT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. ASSUMING
THAT THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV SLOWS DOWN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT INTO
THE REGION...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS NEAR 20 INCHES THROUGH
LATE WEEK.

...TORNADOES...

THERE WILL BE A RISK OF TORNADOES AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM
GUSTAV MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THE RISK WILL INCREASE OVER AREAS
THAT WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. ON THE PRESENT
TRACK...ALL OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 4 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING.

$$

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>004-006-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>152-165-020315-
/O.CON.KSHV.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-UNION LA-
MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-
UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-
NACOGDOCHES-ANGELINA-
1011 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

A WIND ADVISORY...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THE WIND ADVISORY AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES AND PARISHES.

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

           ANGELINA...NACOGDOCHES...CHEROKEE...RUSK...PANOLA...
           HARRISON...GREGG...SMITH...MARION.

IN NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

           CADDO...BOSSIER...WEBSTER...CLAIBORNE...UNION.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES.

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

           WOOD...UPSHUR...CAMP...FRANKLIN...TITUS...MORRIS...
           CASS...BOWIE...RED RIVER.

IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...

           MILLER...LAFAYETTE...LITTLE RIVER...SEVIER...HOWARD...
           HEMPSTEAD...NEVADA.

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

           MCCURTAIN.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

           FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

...STORM INFORMATION...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WOULD REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH
HURRICANE GUSTAV REACHING THE COAST POSSIBLY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.

GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE MAKING PREPARATIONS FOR EXCESSIVE
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WHICH COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

...WINDS...

FOR THOSE AREAS UNDER A WIND ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. FOR THOSE AREAS UNDER
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST INTO SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA MONDAY
EVENING. AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
THAT IT COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN DRASTICALLY PROVIDING A PROLONGED
RAIN THREAT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. ASSUMING THAT THE
REMNANTS OF GUSTAV SLOWS DOWN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT INTO THE
REGION... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS NEAR 20 INCHES THROUGH LATE
WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE WILL BE A RISK OF TORNADOES AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM
GUSTAV MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THE RISK WILL INCREASE OVER AREAS
THAT WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. ON THE PRESENT
TRACK...ALL OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 4 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING.

$$

15


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