[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 23 08:02:39 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KMOB 231301
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
THEN MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT...

AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-241315-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT THE
COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS STARTING TODAY.

PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO
WEST ACROSS THE WARNING AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND
OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES
IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS
OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD FINALIZE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE
PREPARATIONS THIS MORNING. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...
ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND CREEKS...
INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL
THIS MORNING DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HOWEVER...THIS
WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN
SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT
THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO MONDAY. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER THE WEEKEND.

...WINDS...

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON
OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST
ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY
MORNING.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY NOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE
FLORIDA COASTAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO THE ALABAMA
COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE
FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL
SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO
NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS
IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 AM CDT THIS
MORNING.

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241315-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
801 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDY CONDITIONS AND PERIODS OF PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS
WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING
RAINS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...
MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE ALABAMA GULF COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

...WINDS...

GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...AND THEN WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST ALONG THE
GULF COAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL
SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH BREWTON TO
NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. WIDESPREAD MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS
IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 11 AM CDT THIS
MORNING.

$$

PURDY



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