[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 20 01:17:50 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMLB 200616
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
216 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY EXITING INTO THE ATLANTIC JUST SOUTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE...
...FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND MAY STRENGTHEN AGAIN...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL COUNTIES AND
THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS...BUT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM
FLAGLER BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET...FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES
OFFSHORE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF MELBOURNE. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST
AT 7 MPH.

AMZ570-572-201030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
216 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. WINDS OF 30 TO 40
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY
LESSEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERNMOST WATERS LATER TODAY AS FAY LIFTS
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WATERS NORTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED TO THE ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-201030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
216 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVED INTO THE ATLANTIC OFFSHORE MELBOURNE
EARLIER THIS MORNING AFTER FINALLY WEAKENING OVER LAND LATE TUESDAY.
FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
THROUGH TONIGHT TO CONTINUE SPIRALING BANDS OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS
SOUTHWARD ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS...SQUALLS AND ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL REMAIN
HIGH. TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE...WITH THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MOST LIKELY NEAR THE COAST AND DURING SHOWERS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE CENTRAL OR
NORTH FLORIDA COAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE IS SOME
POSSIBILITY THAT FAY MAY REGAIN SOME STRENGTH AND MOVE BACK
ONSHORE THE FLORIDA COAST LATER THIS WEEK. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FORECAST UPDATES CONCERNING FAY THIS WEEK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES AWAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A WESTERLY COMPONENT.
TEMPORARILY...WINDS WILL BECOME LESS GUSTY INLAND...ALTHOUGH STILL
FREQUENTLY REACHING 25 MPH...AND UP TO 35 MPH IN SHOWERS. ALONG THE
COAST...FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH A FEW
SQUALLS TO AROUND 50 MPH. THE WINDS SOUTH OF VERO BEACH SHOULD
WEAKEN SOME LATER TODAY AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

DEPENDING ON THE LATER TRACK AND INTENSITY OF FAY...WINDS MAY AGAIN
INCREASE AND SHIFT TO AN ONSHORE COMPONENT...MOST LIKELY ON THURSDAY
FROM AROUND VOLUSIA COUNTY NORTHWARD.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO NEAR 10 INCHES FELL
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY
SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES. MINOR TO
MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION. A FLOOD
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR THIS REGION DUE TO AREAS
OF STANDING WATER AND THE THREAT FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FOR AT LEAST A PORTION OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING AND WILL INCLUDE AN ASSESSMENT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS IN THE VICINITY...SO FAR...HAVE NOT BEEN
HIGH ENOUGH TO RAISE IMMEDIATE CONCERN. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS THE CLOSEST TO FLOOD HEIGHTS...BUT IT HAS NOT
REACHED ACTION LEVEL.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS WINDS SHIFT TO OFFSHORE...STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN
MINIMAL. HIGH SURF AND A HIGH THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
TODAY.

IF FAY RESTRENGTHENS AND REMAINS NEAR THE COAST...A 2 TO 3 FOOT
STORM SURGE MAY OCCUR LATER THIS WEEK...MAINLY ALONG THE VOLUSIA
AND BREVARD COAST.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY EXITS OFFSHORE...THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. ALTHOUGH
THE TORNADO WATCH HAS EXPIRED...A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO
WILL LINGER EARLY TODAY...PRIMARILY IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAINBANDS
MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-575-201030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
216 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. WINDS OF 30 TO 40
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY
LESSEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERNMOST WATERS LATER TODAY AS FAY LIFTS
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WATERS NORTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED TO THE ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-201030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
216 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVED INTO THE ATLANTIC OFFSHORE MELBOURNE
EARLIER THIS MORNING AFTER FINALLY WEAKENING OVER LAND LATE TUESDAY.
FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
THROUGH TONIGHT TO CONTINUE SPIRALING BANDS OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS
SOUTHWARD ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS...SQUALLS AND ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL REMAIN
HIGH. TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE...WITH THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MOST LIKELY NEAR THE COAST AND DURING SHOWERS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE CENTRAL OR
NORTH FLORIDA COAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE IS SOME
POSSIBILITY THAT FAY MAY REGAIN SOME STRENGTH AND MOVE BACK
ONSHORE THE FLORIDA COAST LATER THIS WEEK. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FORECAST UPDATES CONCERNING FAY THIS WEEK.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...OKEECHOBEE...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND WESTERN VOLUSIA.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES AWAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A WESTERLY COMPONENT.
TEMPORARILY...WINDS WILL BECOME LESS GUSTY INLAND...ALTHOUGH STILL
FREQUENTLY REACHING 25 MPH...AND UP TO 35 MPH IN SHOWERS. ALONG THE
COAST...FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH A FEW
SQUALLS TO AROUND 50 MPH. THE WINDS SOUTH OF VERO BEACH SHOULD
WEAKEN SOME LATER TODAY AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

DEPENDING ON THE LATER TRACK AND INTENSITY OF FAY...WINDS MAY AGAIN
INCREASE AND SHIFT TO AN ONSHORE COMPONENT...MOST LIKELY ON THURSDAY
FROM AROUND VOLUSIA COUNTY NORTHWARD.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO NEAR 10 INCHES FELL
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY
SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES. MINOR TO
MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION. A FLOOD
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR THIS REGION DUE TO AREAS
OF STANDING WATER AND THE THREAT FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FOR AT LEAST A PORTION OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING AND WILL INCLUDE AN ASSESSMENT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS IN THE VICINITY...SO FAR...HAVE NOT BEEN
HIGH ENOUGH TO RAISE IMMEDIATE CONCERN. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS THE CLOSEST TO FLOOD HEIGHTS...BUT IT HAS NOT
REACHED ACTION LEVEL.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY EXITS OFFSHORE...THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE AWAY FROM THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. ALTHOUGH
THE TORNADO WATCH HAS EXPIRED...A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO
WILL LINGER EARLY TODAY...PRIMARILY IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAINBANDS
MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

SPRATT



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