[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 5 16:17:38 CDT 2007


ABNT20 KNHC 052115
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF FELIX ARE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE AND EASTERN
GUATEMALA...MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA THAT COULD
RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT
375 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA HAS NOT YET ACQUIRED THE
CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE.  MOST OF THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS EAST OF THE CENTER WHERE WINDS
TO NEAR GALE FORCE ARE OCCURRING.  THE SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY...AND
A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN



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