[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 021240
HLSTAE
FLZ017>019-027>029-034-GMZ730-765-775-021700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BARRY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
840 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

...CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED BARRY MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND AND NORTH FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO KEATON BEACH. IN THIS CASE...A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM
NORTH OF KEATON BEACH TO SAINT MARKS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.
HOWEVER...IF BARRY CONTINUES TO TRACK FARTHER RIGHT THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...THIS WATCH COULD BE DROPPED LATER THIS
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED AT 997 MB...OR 29.44 INCHES. WITH VERY DRY AIR AND
STRONG WINDS IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...BARRY IS IN
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES...AND GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE NEAR COMPLETION IN THE WARNED AREA...AS WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTS OF TAYLOR AND DIXIE
COUNTIES BY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. LOOSE LAWN
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED BEFORE THE ONSET OF
HIGHER WINDS. LISTEN CAREFULLY TO THE ADVICE OF EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT ABOUT PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IN YOUR AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS OF 8 AM EDT...THE TIDE WAS NEAR NORMAL AT CEDAR KEY AND HALF A
FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT APALACHICOLA. IF BARRY FOLLOWS THE FORECAST
TRACK AND MAKES LANDFALL BETWEEN CEDAR KEY AND TAMPA...THE WIND
ACROSS APALACHEE BAY WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. THIS
OFFSHORE DIRECTION WOULD RESULT IN NO APPRECIABLE RISE IN TIDES
ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. BARRY WOULD HAVE TO MAKE LANDFALL
MUCH FARTHER NORTH THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BRING STORM TIDES OF
3 TO 5 FEET TO THE DIXIE COUNTY COAST...AS THESE TIDES WOULD OCCUR
NEAR AND RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. STORM TIDES ARE
THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.
SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
ARE...

SAINT MARKS...LOW TIDE AT 912 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 301 PM
EDT SATURDAY.

STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE AT 939 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH
TIDE AT 258 PM EDT SATURDAY.

SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...LOW TIDE AT 928 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH
TIDE AT 247 PM EDT.

...WINDS...
AS OF 8 AM EDT...WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WERE GENERALLY
NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. INLAND
WINDS ACROSS THE BIG BEND WERE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH. IF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS DO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA...THEY WILL MOST
LIKELY OCCUR NEAR THE COAST OF TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES. GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN KNOCK DOWN A FEW
TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES...AND BLOW AROUND LOOSE LAWN
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD
MAKE IT TO THE DIXIE AND TAYLOR COUNTY COAST BY LATE MORNING OR
EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT BARRY WILL HAVE TO MOVE FARTHER NORTH THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL COME OUT OF THIS STORM...WITH WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND NORTH FLORIDA...AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY BE A STEADY SOAKING RAIN AS OPPOSED TO
A SHORT TERM DELUGE...SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
AND CREEKS IS NOT EXPECTED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE BY NOON EDT.

$$

14-MROCZKA



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