[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 302121
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 525
MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH.  INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY...IF NECESSARY.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 325 MILES EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS
IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM.  THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE LOW WILL HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION BEFORE BECOMING OVERTAKEN BY THE
FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.  THIS SYSTEM IS ABOUT TO MOVE
INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.  NEVERTHELESS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISORGANIZED NON-TROPICAL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE GEORGIA COAST
REMAINS MINIMAL...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN



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