[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 5 21:14:46 CDT 2006


ABNT20 KNHC 060214
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...IS LOCATED BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.

ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS
DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN



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