[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 282111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED JUN 28 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM AND IS MOVING OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIME PROVINCES.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE EXTREME EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND CONTINUING EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY... AND WIND GUSTS TO 36 MPH
HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON ST. LUCIA. UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. HOWEVER...
BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...
POSSIBLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS... CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... AND OVER
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON
THURSDAY.

A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS
PRODUCING A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO.
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART


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