[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 292141
HLSJAX
FLZ024-025-032-033-037-038-040-GAZ153-154-165-166-300300-

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
540 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...ERNESTO APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA WITH LITTLE CHANGE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...CLAY...DUVAL...FLAGLER...
MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM AND ST JOHNS.

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN AND GLYNN.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FLAGLER...ST JOHNS...DUVAL AND
NASSAU COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
CLAY...PUTNAM AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND CAMDEN AND
GLYNN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR FOR FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH OF
MAYPORT FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...SOUTH OF MIAMI
FLORIDA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005
MB...29.68 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
THOSE ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES MAY REACH THREE TO FOUR FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY. THIS STORM TIDE VALUE IS ONE TO TWO
FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND SIMILAR TO A STRONG
NORTHEASTER.

...WINDS...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY...THE MAIN IMPACT WILL
BE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AND THE ST JOHNS
RIVER. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA WEDNESDAY EVENING BRIEFLY REACHING 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AND COASTAL WATERS. ALONG THE ST
JOHNS RIVER AND GEORGIA BEACHES WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
WINDS MAY ALSO BRIEFLY REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY NEAR THE LARGER
LAKES OF EASTERN MARION...SOUTHEAST PUTNAM AND FLAGLER COUNTIES.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN ALL AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
2 TO 4 INCH RANGE WITH 1 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS FURTHER INLAND. THIS
RAINFALL WOULD NOT BE EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EXCEPT
IN LOCALIZED LOW LYING AREAS. HOWEVER...ANY CHANGE IN TRACK FURTHER
TO THE WEST WOULD RESULT IN HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY IN
COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND WOULD INCREASE THE FLOOD
THREAT.

...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT.
THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN STRONGER
BANDS MAINLY ALONG THE COAST.

...MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL
REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY WITH ROUGH SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FEET OR HIGHER. LOCAL
INLETS WILL BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON ERNESTO FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SANDRIK

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