[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 29 16:35:49 CDT 2006


WTUS82 KMLB 292135
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
300400-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
534 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...RAIN BANDS FROM ERNESTO BEGIN MOVING ONSHORE IN MARTIN AND ST.
LUCIE COUNTIES...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUE FOR MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING
MARTIN...ST LUCIE AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES UNTIL 2AM. THE FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE LAKE COUNTY.

 ...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING
MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR COASTAL SECTIONS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH SOUTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
ATLANTIC COAST...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. NORTH OF NEW SMYRNA
BEACH...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

FOR INLAND SECTIONS...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...
INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. FARTHER WEST...AN
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...ORANGE...
SEMINOLE...AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES EAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI
FLORIDA. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD MAKE EFFICIENT USE OF THE
REMAINING HOURS THIS EVENING TO PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. NEAR THE COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE...RESIDENTS SHOULD ALSO
BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MINIMAL HURRICANE WIND GUSTS.
PERSONS IN MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED...SHOULD CONSIDER
MOVING TO A SAFER PLACE. BRING IN LIGHT WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS...TOOLS...AND LAWN FURNITURE...WHICH MIGHT GET TOSSED
ABOUT IN GUSTY WINDS. PERFORM A BATTERY CHECK ON FLASHLIGHTS AND
RADIOS...ESPECIALLY YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO. RESIDENTS ALONG THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY SHOULD PREPARE BOATS AND DOCKS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM WINDS FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY.

...WINDS...
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH ERNESTO ARE CURRENTLY NEAR 45 MPH.
HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
FLORIDA STRAITS TOWARD SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT. AFTER LANDFALL LATE
TONIGHT ERNESTO WILL MOVE INLAND TOWARD CENTRAL FLORIDA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS
POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 60 MPH WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD LATE
TONIGHT...REACHING MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. AS ERNESTO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REACH INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...LAKE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BETWEEN
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO LAST ABOUT 12 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF ERNESTO AND ALONG THE COAST AS
RAINBANDS SPREAD ONSHORE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS ERNESTO MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
COMBINATION OF AN EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE AND ONSHORE FLOW
WILL RESULT IN STORM SURGE HEIGHTS MAY REACH 2 TO 3 FEET IN A BRISK
ONSHORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL RESULT IN A 4 TO 6 FOOT
TIDE ALONG MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
MODERATE THREAT OF LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLE. BEACH EROSION AND RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RISES WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS SHOULD BE 2
FEET OR LESS...EXCEPT POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3 FEET IN SHELTERED AREAS
EXPOSED TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AS THE STORM CENTER PASSES WEST OF
THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE LAKE COUNTY AND NOW
INCLUDES ALL COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. FORECAST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR AND EAST OF THE STORM CENTER. LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE THE FIRST TO FLOOD. SOME ROADS
OR INTERSECTIONS MAY BECOME TEMPORARILY IMPASSABLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT
TO ALLOW YOU TO CROSS SAFELY.

...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUE FOR MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING
MARTIN...ST LUCIE AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES UNTIL 2AM. OVERNIGHT AND
ON WEDNESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT WILL MOVE NORTH AHEAD AND TO THE
RIGHT OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF ERNESTO. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL
BE WITH TROPICAL RAINBANDS MOVING INTO THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES FROM
THE ATLANTIC.

...MARINE...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT SOUTH OF VERO BEACH...THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD WEDNESDAY. A
FEW HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN RAINBANDS AND
NEAR THE CORE. THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO MOVE BACK OUT
OVER THE WATER BETWEEN PORT CANAVERAL AND FLAGLER BEACH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. DURING THE EVENT...SEAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD TO 16
FEET WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT BETWEEN JUPITER INLET AND FLAGLER
BEACH.

MARINERS SHOULD MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ONSET OF
THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES NORTH
OVER FLORIDA...STRONG WINDS OVER THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL
PRODUCE VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS...POSSIBLY DAMAGING SOME BOATS AND
DOCKS...ESPECIALLY THOSE EXPOSED TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE FOUND
ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE WEB SITE AT

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/GHLS/HLS_MAIN.HTML

$$

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