[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 291507
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND IS SHOWING SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM. INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

A SMALL AND WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY
NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
REMAINS LIMITED... AND UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT BEFORE AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT SWEEPS
THIS SYSTEM AWAY FROM THE COAST TONIGHT.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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