[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 252123
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA... LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BATESVILLE ARKANSAS.

THE BROAD AND COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST OF BERMUDA IS DETACHING FROM A COLD FRONT DEPARTING TO THE
NORTHEAST.  DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS... DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
LOW INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE APPEARS UNLIKELY AS IT
MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... WITH LIMITED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE STILL NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ONLY
SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THEREFORE... ANY DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE.  SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING IN THIS AREA... AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION... SO ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA CAN BE FOUND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH.

FORECASTER KNABB

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