[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 232040
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT MON SEP 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.8N  94.5W      38  X  X  X 38   GALVESTON TX      48  X  X  X 48
32.5N  94.5W      16 14  X  1 31   FREEPORT TX       33  X  X  X 33
33.5N  94.5W       5 20  1  1 27   PORT O CONNOR TX  11  1  X  1 13
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  X  X  3  4
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
GULFPORT MS        X  1  2  3  6   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  3  3
BURAS LA           1  1  1  3  6   GULF 28N 91W      57  X  X  X 57
NEW ORLEANS LA     3  4  1  3 11   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW IBERIA LA     29  1  X  X 30   GULF 28N 95W      33  X  X  X 33
PORT ARTHUR TX    53  X  X  X 53   GULF 27N 96W       2  1  X  1  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
C FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
D FROM  1PM SUN TO  1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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