[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 222049
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.8N  92.4W      40  X  X  X 40   GALVESTON TX       8 17  1  X 26
29.2N  93.8W      14 14  X  1 29   FREEPORT TX        7 16  1  X 24
30.5N  94.5W       1 19  3  1 24   PORT O CONNOR TX   4 11  2  1 18
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  5  1  2  9
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MOBILE AL          X  1  2  4  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  X  2  3
GULFPORT MS        X  3  3  3  9   GULF 28N 89W      18  1  X  X 19
BURAS LA           5  6  1  2 14   GULF 28N 91W      39  X  X  X 39
NEW ORLEANS LA     3  8  2  2 15   GULF 28N 93W      33  X  X  1 34
NEW IBERIA LA      6 13  1  1 21   GULF 28N 95W      15  7  1  X 23
PORT ARTHUR TX     4 20  1  1 26   GULF 27N 96W       4  5  1  1 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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