[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 22 15:25:35 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 222025
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.3N  60.2W      41  1  X  X 42   35.0N  58.0W       X  4 12  X 16
32.8N  60.2W      21  5  X  X 26   BERMUDA            X  3  2  X  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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