[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 21 21:29:06 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 220228
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.6N  58.0W      41  1  X  X 42   31.7N  59.3W       X 13  6  2 21
29.2N  58.8W      10 16  1  X 27   BERMUDA            X  X  4  4  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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