[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 220228
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.5N  90.5W      43  X  X  X 43   FREEPORT TX        X  3 13  3 19
26.3N  92.4W      20  9  1  X 30   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  3 12  4 19
27.5N  94.2W       1 17  5  1 24   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  1 11  4 16
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  1  3  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  2  8  3 13
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  X  3  4
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 89W       7  5  1  1 14
GULFPORT MS        X  X  2  5  7   GULF 28N 91W       7 12  1  1 21
BURAS LA           X  3  5  3 11   GULF 28N 93W       2 17  3  1 23
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2  4  5 11   GULF 28N 95W       X 11  9  2 22
NEW IBERIA LA      X  2  8  5 15   GULF 27N 96W       X  9  9  2 20
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  2 10  5 17   GULF 25N 96W       X  7  5  2 14
GALVESTON TX       X  3 12  4 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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