[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 182033
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.8N  57.3W      38  X  X  X 38   TKPK 173N 627W     X  2  2  3  7
18.9N  58.2W      21  3  1  1 26   TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  3  3  7
20.1N  58.7W       6 12  2  3 23   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  1  2
TFFF 146N 610W     X  1  1  1  3   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  1  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  2  1  1  4   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  1  2
TFFR 163N 615W     1  3  1  3  8   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  1  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  4  3  2  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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