[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 180243
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.8N  56.4W      43  X  X  X 43   TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  4  6 11
17.0N  57.3W      21  4  1  X 26   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  4  7 11
18.1N  58.3W       3 14  3  2 22   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  5  6
TBPB 131N 595W     1  3  2  1  7   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  5  6
TVSV 131N 612W     X  1  1  2  4   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  2  2  2  6   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  4  4
TFFF 146N 610W     X  3  3  3  9   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  5  6
TDPR 153N 614W     X  3  3  4 10   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  5  6
80400 157N 636W    X  X  2  4  6   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  4  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  3  5  4 12   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  2  6  5 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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