[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 180241
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

CORRECTED AWIPS IDENTIFIER FROM AT1 TO AT3

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.1N  73.6W      44  X  X  X 44   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  8 10 18
23.6N  75.5W      19 12  X  X 31   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  4 12 16
24.0N  77.7W       X 17  7  2 26   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1 11 12
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  3  3   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     1  X  1  2  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  5 13 18
MUCM 214N 779W     X  4  5  4 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  6 13 19
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  5  9 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  4 14 18
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   VENICE FL          X  X  2 15 17
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1 12 13   TAMPA FL           X  X  1 14 15
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  5  5   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 12 12
MBJT 215N 712W    43  X  X  X 43   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  8  8
MYMM 224N 730W    45  X  X  X 45   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  8  8
MYSM 241N 745W    30  5  X  X 35   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7
MYEG 235N 758W    14 14  1  X 29   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X 18  7  1 26   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X 17  9  1 27   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2 16  4 22   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 10 10
MARATHON FL        X  X  9 10 19   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  6  6
MIAMI FL           X  X 14  7 21   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X 12  8 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net