[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion
EMWIN Server
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Sat Sep 17 15:51:25 CDT 2005
WTNT41 KNHC 172051
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
OPHELIA IS CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
REMAINING MINIMAL CONVECTION...AND A TROUGH OR POSSIBLE FRONTAL
BAND CONTINUES TO FORM SOUTH OF THE CENTER. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12 HR... BUT MAINTAIN GALE TO
POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 050/21. OPHELIA SHOULD ACCELERATE
NORTHEAST NEAR OR ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND...THEN MOVE
GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN THE FAST
WESTERLY FLOW.
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 17/2100Z 42.4N 66.3W 50 KT
12HR VT 18/0600Z 44.8N 62.6W 50 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 18/1800Z 47.7N 56.5W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 19/0600Z 49.8N 50.4W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 19/1800Z 51.4N 43.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 20/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 21/1800Z 60.5N 14.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 22/1800Z 66.0N 7.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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