[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 172040
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.6N  57.1W      55  X  X  X 55   TAPA 171N 618W     X  3 11  5 19
16.6N  58.1W      30  5  X  X 35   TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  8  7 16
17.6N  59.1W       6 19  2  1 28   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  6 10 16
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  X  2  2   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1  9 10
TBPB 131N 595W     1  6  1  2 10   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  9 10
TVSV 131N 612W     X  1  2  3  6   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  5  5
TLPL 138N 610W     X  3  4  3 10   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  6  6
TFFF 146N 610W     X  5  5  3 13   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1  9 10
TDPR 153N 614W     X  5  7  3 15   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  9 10
80400 157N 636W    X  X  2  7  9   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  6  6
TFFR 163N 615W     X  5  9  4 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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WWWW
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