[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 140842
SPFAT1
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.7N  76.5W      30  1  X  X 31   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  7  8
35.3N  75.5W      12  6  2  X 20   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  8  8
36.0N  73.5W       X  5  7  3 15   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
CHARLESTON SC      5  2  1  X  8   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   52  X  X  X 52   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC     58  X  X  X 58   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  33  X  X  1 34   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC  13  5  2  1 21   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         2  9  4  1 16   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  8  3 13   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  6  5 11   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  3  6  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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