[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 9 09:40:42 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 091440
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  42.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

45.1N  38.2W      25  X  X  X 25   52.0N  33.0W       X  5  6  3 14
48.5N  35.5W       4 12  1  1 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA


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