[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 3 21:35:09 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 040234
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARIA... CENTERED ABOUT 695 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER... EXTENDING FROM FLORIDA EASTWARD
ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT WESTERN ATLANTIC... IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED TO THE
EAST OF THE BAHAMAS THIS EVENING... BUT THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF
THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
VERY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION... BUT COULD
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE IS CENTERED ABOUT
825 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY
FROM LAND. REDEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

$$
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