[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 010831
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 01 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN SEP  4 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.4N  51.6W      59  X  X  X 59   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
34.6N  51.6W      25  1  1  X 27   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3
35.8N  51.6W      14  4  2  1 21   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  4  4
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2
SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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