[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 292031
SPFAT1
HURRICANE BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE NOV  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.0N  84.1W      50  X  X  X 50   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  9  5  4 18
14.0N  85.3W      28  2  X  X 30   MNPC 141N 834W    74  X  X  X 74
14.2N  86.4W       9 14  1  1 25   MNBL 120N 839W    11  1  1  2 15
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2   SKSP 126N 817W    24  X  X  X 24
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  6  6
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  6  8 14   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  3 10  5 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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