[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 272031
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN OCT 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.6N  81.6W      99  X  X  X 99   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  5  9 14
13.0N  82.0W      49  X  X  1 50   MNPC 141N 834W    14  9  2  2 27
13.3N  82.5W      36  X  1  X 37   MNBL 120N 839W    13  4  2  3 22
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   SKSP 126N 817W    99  X  X  X 99
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  6  6   MRLM 100N 831W     1  2  2  5 10
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  6  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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