[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 26 21:46:01 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 270245
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.5N  82.5W      47  X  X  X 47   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  1  8  8 17
13.0N  83.0W      35  X  X  1 36   MNPC 141N 834W    15  8  2  1 26
13.0N  84.0W      23  2  1  2 28   MNBL 120N 839W    27  X  1  1 29
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W    47  X  X  X 47
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   MRLM 100N 831W     7  1  1  4 13
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  5  5   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1  9 10   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  2 10 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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