[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 230901
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
231600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...HURRICANE WILMA NOW MOVING TOWARD FLORIDA...


...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM JUPITER INLET TO
TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF
TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...
OSCEOLA AND ORANGE COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN
BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 350 MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH AND AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WILMA IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME INCREASE
IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE TODAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA VERY EARLY ON MONDAY AND ACCELERATE VERY RAPIDLY ACROSS
THE PENINSULA DURING THE DAY. ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY BE COMPLETED TODAY...PREFERABLY IN THE MORNING...AS
WEATHER MAY DETEORIATE RAPIDLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. CHECK WITH
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR THE LOCATIONS OF SHELTERS...
PARTICULARLY FOR THOSE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS AND PEOPLE LIVING IN
MANUFACTURED OR MOBILE HOMES. BREVARD COUNTY HAS ISSUED A MANDATORY
EVACUATION OF MOBILE AND MANUFACTURED HOMES AND WILL BE OPENING
SHELTERS AT 10 AM TODAY.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF WILMA AS THE AREA OF GREATEST
IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. THERE REMAINS
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK. DO NOT GET CAUGHT OFF-GUARD OR
DELAY YOUR ACTIONS. DO NOT ASSUME A WAIT AND SEE ATTITUDE BECAUSE
THERE MAY NOT BE TIME TO REACT IF THERE IS ANY CHANGE TO THE
FORECAST TRACK. ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDIANS ARE STRONGLY URGED TO
MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE GREATEST THREAT FROM WILMA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS FOR
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND FIELD IS VERY LARGE
AND THEREFORE WILL ARRIVE WELL BEFORE THE APPROACH OF THE CORE WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...
OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES VERY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD ACROSS BREVARD...
ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES STARTING BEFORE 8 AM.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...
SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY MID MORNING ON MONDAY
AND THEN SPREAD INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES.

BECAUSE THE OF THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA...WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST
IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE CENTER AND TO THE RIGHT. IT IS LIKELY A BAND OF
VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THE LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE THE
GREATEST WIND IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. BY
THAT TIME WILMA WILL BE MOVING VERY FAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND BEGIN WEAKENING RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS WILMA CONTINUES TO
MOVE OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
LATE SEASON TROPICAL CYCLONES APPROACHING FLORIDA FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO HAVE A GREATER RISK OF PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES ESPECIALLY
WHEN INTERACTING WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARIES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE WITH OUTER RAINBANDS TODAY WITH THE HIGHEST THREAT
DURING THE APPROACH OF THE CENTRAL RAINBANDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH
MONDAY.  BECAUSE WILMA WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE STATE...
WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF SEVERAL INCHES MAY OCCUR IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AHEAD OF WILMA. BUT...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF
LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAIN ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL
INTERSECT THE WILMA CIRCULATION TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

WHILE IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHERE THIS MIGHT OCCUR
...IT APPEARS THAT THE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE
AREA...OR IN AN AREA THAT IS ALREADY EXPERIENCING DRAINAGE
PROBLEMS...DO WHAT IS NECESSARY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE OF THE ANTICIPATED RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA AND THE MOVEMENT
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC...HIGH IMPACT STORM SURGE AND COASTAL
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A STORM TIDE OF PERHAPS 3 OR 4
FEET IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AROUND MID DAY MONDAY
NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH
SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE
ATLANTIC.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM FOR MARINERS DUE TO ITS RAPID
APPROACH AND ACCELERATION FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY BECOME HAZARDOUS LATER TODAY WITH BUILDING
SEAS AND THEN BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS ON MONDAY. MARINERS
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE REGULAR ISSUANCE OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN
SUSPENDED UNTIL AFTER WILMA PASSES. ALL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE CONTAINED IN
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE BY NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE
VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO.

$$

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