[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 222153
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
230400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM TITUSVILLE
SOUTHWARD AND FOR ALL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM WATCH
ISSUED FROM TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA AND
ORANGE COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN
BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA VERY EARLY ON MONDAY AND THEN
ACCELERATE VERY RAPIDLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE DAY
ON MONDAY. IT IS VERY IMPORTANT THAT ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY BE COMPLETED DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY AS
WEATHER WILL BE DETERIORATING RAPIDLY LATE ON SUNDAY. CHECK WITH
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR THE LOCATIONS OF SHELTERS ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS AND PEOPLE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED OR
MOBILE HOMES. BREVARD COUNTY HAS ISSUED A MANDATORY EVACUATION OF
MOBILE AND MANUFACTURED HOMES AND WILL BE OPENING SHELTERS AT 10 AM
SUNDAY. DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF WILMA AS THE AREA OF
GREATEST IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA IMPLEMENT YOUR HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM PLANS AND
BE PREPARED FOR THE ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
SUNDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE GREATEST OVERALL THREAT FROM WILMA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
IS LIKELY TO BE FROM DESTRUCTIVE WIND. THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND FIELD IS VERY LARGE WITH WILMA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT
LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES VERY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND SPREAD
ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
AROUND 8 AM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT
OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES BY MID
MORNING AND SPREAD INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY
LATE MORNING.

BECAUSE THE OF THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA WINDS WILL BE
HIGHEST IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE CENTER AND TO THE RIGHT. IT IS LIKELY A
BAND OF VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THE LOCATIONS THAT MAY
EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST WIND IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL MONDAY
MORNING AND BY THAT TIME WILMA WILL BE MOVING VERY FAST. DO NOT FOCUS
ON THE EXACT CENTER TRACK. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA TAKE
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BEGIN
WEAKENING RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS WILMA CONTINUES TO MOVE
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
LATE SEASON TROPICAL CYCLONES APPROACHING FLORIDA FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO HAVE A GREATER RISK OF PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES ESPECIALLY
WHEN INTERACTING WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARIES AND FAST FORWARD SPEED AS
IS ANTICIPATED WITH WILMA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
OUTER RAINBANDS SUNDAY AND THEN TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND BE THE HIGHEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE CENTRAL
RAINBANDS OF WILMA EARLY MONDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ON
SUNDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR THE ISSUANCE OF TORNADO
WARNINGS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF SEVERAL
INCHES MAY OCCUR IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF WILMA. IN ADDITION...
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF BOUNDARIES SETTING UP IN OUTER RAINBANDS
THAT MAY LEAD TO TRAINING OF SHOWERS AND LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

WHILE IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHERE THIS MIGHT OCCUR
...IT APPEARS THAT THE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO TRAINING OF SHOWERS RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA OR IN AN AREA THAT ARE
ALREADY EXPERIENCING DRAINAGE ISSUES TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE OF THE ANTICIPATED RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA AND THE MOVEMENT
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC STORM SURGE AND COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE OF GREAT IMPACT. A STORM TIDE OF PERHAPS 3 OR 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AROUND MID DAY MONDAY NORTH OF
WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...
BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC AND
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM FOR MARINERS DUE TO ITS RAPID ACCELERATION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH BUILDING SEAS AND THEN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS ON MONDAY AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE COASTAL WATERS PERHAPS
MOVING AS FAST AS 30 KNOTS. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
REGULAR ISSUANCE OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED UNTIL AFTER WILMA PASSES. ALL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE CONTAINED IN
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE BY MIDNIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE
VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBPAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO.

$$

HAGEMEYER

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