[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 222131
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
530 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...HURRICANE WILMA SLOWLY DEPARTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES
OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR NEAR THE NORTHEAST TIP
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THIS IS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA
AND 490 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS.  WILMA WAS DRIFTING NORTH AT 2
MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED. BY SUNDAY...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.  WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY THIS AFTERNOON.  TIDE LEVELS WILL FURTHER INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN THESE
AREAS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY GREATLY BY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF
THE CENTER OF WILMA.  BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST THREAT
OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY.  LEE AND PERHAPS CHARLOTTE
COUNTY WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY...
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY EXPOSE
SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...AND
HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
ON SUNDAY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY...RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT
MORE MINOR FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES..MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO POLK
COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
THE COMBINATION OF WILMA LINKING UP WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
ENSURE AT LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS... SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS.  THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO BE NIL FROM TAMPA BAY
NORTHWARD...AND LOW SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
NORTH WINDS USHERING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ENSURE STABLE CONDITIONS
FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD.  THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE
CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT  FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE
ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 11
PM TONIGHT.

$$

CP

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net