[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 151507
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
JUST WEST OF JAMAICA. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO BE IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY A
LARGE AREA OF SQUALLS WHICH IS ALREADY AFFECTING JAMAICA AND THE
ADJACENT WATERS.  ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE WARM WATERS BEWTEEN JAMAICA
AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM OR EVEN A HURRICANE. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...CUBA
...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MIDWAY BETWEEN
AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NO LONGER FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

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