[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 101528
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM VINCE... LOCATED IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT
175 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MADEIRA ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND
NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  THIS
ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW
BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW
NEAR PUERTO RICO WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE
BAHAMAS.  THE COMBINATION OF THESE SYSTEMS IS PRODUCING SOME BANDS
OF HEAVY RAIN CONCENTRATED MAINLY OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS.  WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA... SOME GRADUAL
NON-TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.  THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME LESS CONCENTRATED THIS
MORNING.  CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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