[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 051123
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
730 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...THE CENTER OF TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT OCT  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.9N  82.4W      41  X  X  X 41   FT MYERS FL       39  X  X  X 39
31.9N  83.5W      28  3  X  X 31   VENICE FL         15  X  1  X 16
32.8N  84.4W      12 11  1  X 24   TAMPA FL          42  X  X  X 42
MYGF 266N 787W    15  X  1  X 16   CEDAR KEY FL      38  1  X  X 39
MIAMI FL          70  X  X  X 70   ST MARKS FL       25  1  1  X 27
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL   11  5  1  X 17
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     6  7  3  X 16
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   PENSACOLA FL       X  6  4  X 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL  86  X  X  X 86   MOBILE AL          X  2  4  X  6
JACKSONVILLE FL   49  X  X  X 49   GULFPORT MS        X  X  3  X  3
SAVANNAH GA       17  2  1  X 20   GULF 29N 85W       6  5  2  X 13
CHARLESTON SC      2  2  2  X  6   GULF 29N 87W       X  2  3  X  5
MARCO ISLAND FL   19  X  X  X 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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