[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 032112
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM STAN... LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT
240 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A LARGE AND COMPLEX SYSTEM OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS.  SURFACE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE
TROUGH IS CONTINUING TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED...BUT MOST
OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST OF
THE AREA OF LOWEST PRESSURE.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.   AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND
REACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE TOMORROW OR WEDNESDAY.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

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