[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 032039
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU OCT  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.4N  94.2W      57  X  X  X 57   MMVR 192N 961W    16  6  2  1 25
19.2N  95.0W      37  1  X  X 38   MMFR 185N 926W    21  X  X  1 22
19.1N  95.8W      21  3  1  1 26   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  2  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  7  9   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
MMTM 222N 979W     X  1  7  6 14   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     X  8  6  4 18   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  5  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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